dc.contributor.author |
Singels, A
|
|
dc.contributor.author |
Jones, MR
|
|
dc.contributor.author |
Lumsden, Trevor G
|
|
dc.date.accessioned |
2023-05-12T11:37:48Z |
|
dc.date.available |
2023-05-12T11:37:48Z |
|
dc.date.issued |
2022-12 |
|
dc.identifier.citation |
Singels, A., Jones, M. & Lumsden, T.G. 2022. Potential for sugarcane production under current and future climates in South Africa: Sugar and ethanol yields, and crop water use. <i>Sugar Tech, 25.</i> http://hdl.handle.net/10204/12779 |
en_ZA |
dc.identifier.issn |
0972-1525 |
|
dc.identifier.issn |
0974-0740 |
|
dc.identifier.uri |
https://doi.org/10.1007/s12355-022-01227-y
|
|
dc.identifier.uri |
http://hdl.handle.net/10204/12779
|
|
dc.description.abstract |
Spatial information on crop productivity and resource use is required to enable efficient sugarcane production with limited resources and under a changing climate. The objective of this study was to estimate biomass, sugar and ethanol yields for high-sucrose (HS) and high-fibre (HF) sugarcane cultivars for current and future climate in water limited South Africa. An upgraded version of the Canegro sugarcane model, calibrated for a HS and HF cultivar, was used to simulate biomass component yields for 1,986 agro-climatic zones. Ethanol yields were calculated from simulated biomass fractions and theoretical conversion efficiencies. Historical daily weather data for 1971–1990 were used to represent the baseline climate, while daily weather data generated from three global circulation models for 1971–1990 and 2046–2065 were used to project future changes in climate. Simulations show that the HF cultivar produced higher (15–35%) biomass and ethanol yields than the HS cultivar, but also used slightly more (~ 4%) water. Climate change is projected to increase dryland yields for both cultivar types (8–19%) Irrigated yields will not change much in current high potential areas (1–5%), given adequate water supply, while yields could increase substantially in current cool areas (~ 20%). Water and irrigation requirements are expected to increase (9–15%) under a future climate. New areas could be become suitable for irrigated and dryland production. The information produced in this study can be used to assist decision-making for: (1) optimizing production and processing processes and (2) the development of sustainable greenfield projects in marginal areas of South Africa. |
en_US |
dc.format |
Abstract |
en_US |
dc.language.iso |
en |
en_US |
dc.relation.uri |
https://link.springer.com/article/10.1007/s12355-022-01227-y |
en_US |
dc.source |
Sugar Tech, 25 |
en_US |
dc.subject |
Biomass |
en_US |
dc.subject |
Climate change |
en_US |
dc.subject |
Crop models |
en_US |
dc.subject |
Ethanol |
en_US |
dc.subject |
Rainfall |
en_US |
dc.subject |
Sugarcane production |
en_US |
dc.subject |
Water use |
en_US |
dc.title |
Potential for sugarcane production under current and future climates in South Africa: Sugar and ethanol yields, and crop water use |
en_US |
dc.type |
Article |
en_US |
dc.description.pages |
473-481 |
en_US |
dc.description.note |
© The Author(s), under exclusive licence to Society for Sugar Research & Promotion 2022. Due to licensing restrictions, the attached PDF file only contains the abstract of the full text item. For access to the full text item, please consult the publisher's website: https://doi.org/10.1007/s12355-022-01227-y |
en_US |
dc.description.cluster |
Smart Places |
en_US |
dc.description.impactarea |
Climate Services |
en_US |
dc.identifier.apacitation |
Singels, A., Jones, M., & Lumsden, T. G. (2022). Potential for sugarcane production under current and future climates in South Africa: Sugar and ethanol yields, and crop water use. <i>Sugar Tech, 25</i>, http://hdl.handle.net/10204/12779 |
en_ZA |
dc.identifier.chicagocitation |
Singels, A, MR Jones, and Trevor G Lumsden "Potential for sugarcane production under current and future climates in South Africa: Sugar and ethanol yields, and crop water use." <i>Sugar Tech, 25</i> (2022) http://hdl.handle.net/10204/12779 |
en_ZA |
dc.identifier.vancouvercitation |
Singels A, Jones M, Lumsden TG. Potential for sugarcane production under current and future climates in South Africa: Sugar and ethanol yields, and crop water use. Sugar Tech, 25. 2022; http://hdl.handle.net/10204/12779. |
en_ZA |
dc.identifier.ris |
TY - Article
AU - Singels, A
AU - Jones, MR
AU - Lumsden, Trevor G
AB - Spatial information on crop productivity and resource use is required to enable efficient sugarcane production with limited resources and under a changing climate. The objective of this study was to estimate biomass, sugar and ethanol yields for high-sucrose (HS) and high-fibre (HF) sugarcane cultivars for current and future climate in water limited South Africa. An upgraded version of the Canegro sugarcane model, calibrated for a HS and HF cultivar, was used to simulate biomass component yields for 1,986 agro-climatic zones. Ethanol yields were calculated from simulated biomass fractions and theoretical conversion efficiencies. Historical daily weather data for 1971–1990 were used to represent the baseline climate, while daily weather data generated from three global circulation models for 1971–1990 and 2046–2065 were used to project future changes in climate. Simulations show that the HF cultivar produced higher (15–35%) biomass and ethanol yields than the HS cultivar, but also used slightly more (~ 4%) water. Climate change is projected to increase dryland yields for both cultivar types (8–19%) Irrigated yields will not change much in current high potential areas (1–5%), given adequate water supply, while yields could increase substantially in current cool areas (~ 20%). Water and irrigation requirements are expected to increase (9–15%) under a future climate. New areas could be become suitable for irrigated and dryland production. The information produced in this study can be used to assist decision-making for: (1) optimizing production and processing processes and (2) the development of sustainable greenfield projects in marginal areas of South Africa.
DA - 2022-12
DB - ResearchSpace
DP - CSIR
J1 - Sugar Tech, 25
KW - Biomass
KW - Climate change
KW - Crop models
KW - Ethanol
KW - Rainfall
KW - Sugarcane production
KW - Water use
LK - https://researchspace.csir.co.za
PY - 2022
SM - 0972-1525
SM - 0974-0740
T1 - Potential for sugarcane production under current and future climates in South Africa: Sugar and ethanol yields, and crop water use
TI - Potential for sugarcane production under current and future climates in South Africa: Sugar and ethanol yields, and crop water use
UR - http://hdl.handle.net/10204/12779
ER -
|
en_ZA |
dc.identifier.worklist |
26566 |
en_US |