Malherbe, JohanLandman, WAOlivier, CSakuma, HLuo, J-J2014-08-252014-08-252014-07Malherbe, J, Landman, W.A, Olivier, C, Sakuma, H and Luo, J-J. 2014. Seasonal forecasts of the SINTEX-F coupled model applied to maize yield and streamflow estimates over north-eastern South Africa. Meteorological Applications, vol. 21(3), pp 733-7421350-4827http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/met.1402/pdfhttp://hdl.handle.net/10204/7628Copyright: 2014 Royal Meteorological Society. This is an ABSTRACT ONLY. The definitive version is published in Meteorological Applications, vol 21(3), pp 733-742Forecasts of a Global Coupled Model for austral summer with a 1 month lead are downscaled to end-of-season maize yields and accumulated streamflow over the Limpopo Province and adjacent districts in northeastern South Africa through application of an MOS (Model Output Statistics) approach applied over a 28 year period. Promising results, based on the hindcasts of the Global Models and historically observed yield and streamflow data, suggest potential for a commodity-orientated forecast system for application in agriculture in an operational environment. It also serves as a baseline study for inclusion of sophisticated crop or runoff models using GCM output data towards estimating potential yields and streamflows in the region.enSeasonal forecastsGlobal Coupled ModelsAustral summerModel Output StatisticsMOSCoupled global modelsCrop forecastsStreamflow forecastsPrincipal component regressionSouth African weather forecastsArticleMalherbe, J., Landman, W., Olivier, C., Sakuma, H., & Luo, J. (2014). Seasonal forecasts of the SINTEX-F coupled model applied to maize yield and streamflow estimates over north-eastern South Africa. http://hdl.handle.net/10204/7628Malherbe, Johan, WA Landman, C Olivier, H Sakuma, and J-J Luo "Seasonal forecasts of the SINTEX-F coupled model applied to maize yield and streamflow estimates over north-eastern South Africa." (2014) http://hdl.handle.net/10204/7628Malherbe J, Landman W, Olivier C, Sakuma H, Luo J. Seasonal forecasts of the SINTEX-F coupled model applied to maize yield and streamflow estimates over north-eastern South Africa. 2014; http://hdl.handle.net/10204/7628.TY - Article AU - Malherbe, Johan AU - Landman, WA AU - Olivier, C AU - Sakuma, H AU - Luo, J-J AB - Forecasts of a Global Coupled Model for austral summer with a 1 month lead are downscaled to end-of-season maize yields and accumulated streamflow over the Limpopo Province and adjacent districts in northeastern South Africa through application of an MOS (Model Output Statistics) approach applied over a 28 year period. Promising results, based on the hindcasts of the Global Models and historically observed yield and streamflow data, suggest potential for a commodity-orientated forecast system for application in agriculture in an operational environment. It also serves as a baseline study for inclusion of sophisticated crop or runoff models using GCM output data towards estimating potential yields and streamflows in the region. DA - 2014-07 DB - ResearchSpace DP - CSIR KW - Seasonal forecasts KW - Global Coupled Models KW - Austral summer KW - Model Output Statistics KW - MOS KW - Coupled global models KW - Crop forecasts KW - Streamflow forecasts KW - Principal component regression KW - South African weather forecasts LK - https://researchspace.csir.co.za PY - 2014 SM - 1350-4827 T1 - Seasonal forecasts of the SINTEX-F coupled model applied to maize yield and streamflow estimates over north-eastern South Africa TI - Seasonal forecasts of the SINTEX-F coupled model applied to maize yield and streamflow estimates over north-eastern South Africa UR - http://hdl.handle.net/10204/7628 ER -