Ludick, CLe Roux, Alize2018-11-272018-11-272018-09Ludick, C. and Le Roux, A. 2018. A geospatial modelling approach to simulating the impact of future planning policies on the City of Tshwane. Proceedings of the AfricaGEO 2018 Conference, 17-19 September 2018, Emperors' Palace, Johannesburg, South Africa, pp. 38-51https://africageo.org.za/wp-content/uploads/2018/09/AG2018-programme2.pdfhttp://hdl.handle.net/10204/10539Paper presented at the AfricaGEO 2018 Conference, 17-19 September 2018, Emperors' Palace, Johannesburg, South AfricaMany researchers believe that no matter what path a country takes towards economic development the end result will lead to urbanisation. Rapid urban growth will have a major influence on the social, economic and political dialogue over the next few decades. The planning policies that are implemented in cities influence where urban growth will take place. In order for a government to implement effective policies they first need to establish what the possible effects of these policies could be. Land use change models have proven to be effective decision support tools when it comes to determining the effects of planning policies. The aim of this paper is to simulate urban growth for the City of Tshwane over the next 30 years under the Compaction and Densification Strategy policy currently in the process of implementation. This policy aims to reduce the effect of urban sprawl by promoting urban densification. It became clear from the results that the implementation of the Compaction and Densification Strategy could lead to the development of a more compact City of Tshwane. Under the Compaction and Densification Strategy, most of the development will take place within a 25km radius of the Central Business District and around major routes, metropolitan- and urban cores. This leads to most of the development taking place around the existing infrastructure instead of taking place where there is no established infrastructure.enConference PresentationLudick, C., & Le Roux, A. (2018). A geospatial modelling approach to simulating the impact of future planning policies on the City of Tshwane. http://hdl.handle.net/10204/10539Ludick, C, and Alize Le Roux. "A geospatial modelling approach to simulating the impact of future planning policies on the City of Tshwane." (2018): http://hdl.handle.net/10204/10539Ludick C, Le Roux A, A geospatial modelling approach to simulating the impact of future planning policies on the City of Tshwane; 2018. http://hdl.handle.net/10204/10539 .TY - Conference Presentation AU - Ludick, C AU - Le Roux, Alize AB - Many researchers believe that no matter what path a country takes towards economic development the end result will lead to urbanisation. Rapid urban growth will have a major influence on the social, economic and political dialogue over the next few decades. The planning policies that are implemented in cities influence where urban growth will take place. In order for a government to implement effective policies they first need to establish what the possible effects of these policies could be. Land use change models have proven to be effective decision support tools when it comes to determining the effects of planning policies. The aim of this paper is to simulate urban growth for the City of Tshwane over the next 30 years under the Compaction and Densification Strategy policy currently in the process of implementation. This policy aims to reduce the effect of urban sprawl by promoting urban densification. It became clear from the results that the implementation of the Compaction and Densification Strategy could lead to the development of a more compact City of Tshwane. Under the Compaction and Densification Strategy, most of the development will take place within a 25km radius of the Central Business District and around major routes, metropolitan- and urban cores. This leads to most of the development taking place around the existing infrastructure instead of taking place where there is no established infrastructure. DA - 2018-09 DB - ResearchSpace DP - CSIR LK - https://researchspace.csir.co.za PY - 2018 T1 - A geospatial modelling approach to simulating the impact of future planning policies on the City of Tshwane TI - A geospatial modelling approach to simulating the impact of future planning policies on the City of Tshwane UR - http://hdl.handle.net/10204/10539 ER -