Landman, WAGraham, RKnight, JEngelbrecht, COlivier, C2012-11-122012-11-122012-10Landman, WA, Graham, R, Knight, J, Engelbrecht, C and Olivier, C. Assessment of GloSea4 seasonal forecasts for SADC and the global oceans. 4th CSIR Biennial Conference: Real problems relevant solutions, CSIR, Pretoria, 9-10 October 2012http://hdl.handle.net/10204/62914th CSIR Biennial Conference: Real problems relevant solutions, CSIR, Pretoria, 9-10 October 2012The main objective of this research is to demonstrate the skill of the UK Met Office Hadley Centre’s coupled global seasonal forecasting system, GloSea4, as a seasonal forecasting tool for the Southern African Development Community (SADC) and the global oceans, with special emphasis on the equatorial Pacific Ocean. In addition, the value of including GloSea4 forecasts in ulti-model systems is tested. These investigations are conducted by testing the model’s ability to predict seasonal rainfall totals during the austral spring (SON), mid-summer (DJF) and autumn (MAM) seasons in the region, and by testing for monthly sea-surface temperature anomalies during mid-summer. The model’s ability to simulate the region’s intra-seasonal rainfall and low level circulation characteristics is investigated through self-organising maps(SOM).enGloSea4RainfallSeasonal forecastingOceansForecast systemsPrecipitationSelf-organising mapsConference PresentationLandman, W., Graham, R., Knight, J., Engelbrecht, C., & Olivier, C. (2012). Assessment of GloSea4 seasonal forecasts for SADC and the global oceans. http://hdl.handle.net/10204/6291Landman, WA, R Graham, J Knight, C Engelbrecht, and C Olivier. "Assessment of GloSea4 seasonal forecasts for SADC and the global oceans." (2012): http://hdl.handle.net/10204/6291Landman W, Graham R, Knight J, Engelbrecht C, Olivier C, Assessment of GloSea4 seasonal forecasts for SADC and the global oceans; 2012. http://hdl.handle.net/10204/6291 .TY - Conference Presentation AU - Landman, WA AU - Graham, R AU - Knight, J AU - Engelbrecht, C AU - Olivier, C AB - The main objective of this research is to demonstrate the skill of the UK Met Office Hadley Centre’s coupled global seasonal forecasting system, GloSea4, as a seasonal forecasting tool for the Southern African Development Community (SADC) and the global oceans, with special emphasis on the equatorial Pacific Ocean. In addition, the value of including GloSea4 forecasts in ulti-model systems is tested. These investigations are conducted by testing the model’s ability to predict seasonal rainfall totals during the austral spring (SON), mid-summer (DJF) and autumn (MAM) seasons in the region, and by testing for monthly sea-surface temperature anomalies during mid-summer. The model’s ability to simulate the region’s intra-seasonal rainfall and low level circulation characteristics is investigated through self-organising maps(SOM). DA - 2012-10 DB - ResearchSpace DP - CSIR KW - GloSea4 KW - Rainfall KW - Seasonal forecasting KW - Oceans KW - Forecast systems KW - Precipitation KW - Self-organising maps LK - https://researchspace.csir.co.za PY - 2012 T1 - Assessment of GloSea4 seasonal forecasts for SADC and the global oceans TI - Assessment of GloSea4 seasonal forecasts for SADC and the global oceans UR - http://hdl.handle.net/10204/6291 ER -