Eatwell, KAVerryn, SDRoux, CZGeerthsen, PJM2012-02-022012-02-022011Eatwell, KA, Verryn, SD, Roux, CZ and Geerthsen, PJM. 2011. Comparison of collinearity mitigation techniques used in predicting BLUP breeding values and genetic gains over generations. Southern Forests: a Journal of Forest Science, Vol 73(3&4), pp 155–1632070-2620http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.2989/20702620.2011.639490http://hdl.handle.net/10204/5550Copyright: 2011 Taylor & Francis. This is an ABSTRACT ONLYCollinearity potentially has a negative impact on the prediction of genetic gains in tree breeding programs. This study investigated the reliability and impact of best linear unbiased prediction (BLUP) using various collinearity mitigation techniques and of two computational numerical precisions on the genetic gains in breeding populations. Multiple-trait, multiple-trial BLUP selection scenarios were run on Eucalyptus grandis (F1, F2 and F3) and Pinus patula (F1 and F2) data, comparing predicted breeding values of parents (forward prediction) with those realised in progeny (backward prediction of parents). Numeric precision had an impact on intergenerational correlations of BLUPs of some scenarios, indicating that it may not always be optimal to use higher precision when there is collinearity in the data. The relative difference in genetic gains between techniques varied by up to 0.38 standard deviation units in the less-stable pine population. This highlights the potentially large impact that instability can have on the efficiency of a breeding programme. BLUP performed close to expected in the relatively stable (less collinear) population (eucalypt F1), and performed poorly in the other two populations. In the unstable pine data, some of the techniques resulted in improved intergenerational correlations coming in line with expected performance. This study indicates that BLUP can perform as expected and also confirms the potential problem of instability and consequences thereof. BLUP users should examine the nature of the population of predicted values and should these be outside expectation, various mitigation techniques should be explored.enBest linear unbiased predictionBLUPBreeding valuesCollinearityMultigenerationalRealised genetic gainsForestryForestry sciencesAgricultural sciencesComparison of collinearity mitigation techniques used in predicting BLUP breeding values and genetic gains over generationsArticleEatwell, K., Verryn, S., Roux, C., & Geerthsen, P. (2011). Comparison of collinearity mitigation techniques used in predicting BLUP breeding values and genetic gains over generations. http://hdl.handle.net/10204/5550Eatwell, KA, SD Verryn, CZ Roux, and PJM Geerthsen "Comparison of collinearity mitigation techniques used in predicting BLUP breeding values and genetic gains over generations." (2011) http://hdl.handle.net/10204/5550Eatwell K, Verryn S, Roux C, Geerthsen P. Comparison of collinearity mitigation techniques used in predicting BLUP breeding values and genetic gains over generations. 2011; http://hdl.handle.net/10204/5550.TY - Article AU - Eatwell, KA AU - Verryn, SD AU - Roux, CZ AU - Geerthsen, PJM AB - Collinearity potentially has a negative impact on the prediction of genetic gains in tree breeding programs. This study investigated the reliability and impact of best linear unbiased prediction (BLUP) using various collinearity mitigation techniques and of two computational numerical precisions on the genetic gains in breeding populations. Multiple-trait, multiple-trial BLUP selection scenarios were run on Eucalyptus grandis (F1, F2 and F3) and Pinus patula (F1 and F2) data, comparing predicted breeding values of parents (forward prediction) with those realised in progeny (backward prediction of parents). Numeric precision had an impact on intergenerational correlations of BLUPs of some scenarios, indicating that it may not always be optimal to use higher precision when there is collinearity in the data. The relative difference in genetic gains between techniques varied by up to 0.38 standard deviation units in the less-stable pine population. This highlights the potentially large impact that instability can have on the efficiency of a breeding programme. BLUP performed close to expected in the relatively stable (less collinear) population (eucalypt F1), and performed poorly in the other two populations. In the unstable pine data, some of the techniques resulted in improved intergenerational correlations coming in line with expected performance. This study indicates that BLUP can perform as expected and also confirms the potential problem of instability and consequences thereof. BLUP users should examine the nature of the population of predicted values and should these be outside expectation, various mitigation techniques should be explored. DA - 2011 DB - ResearchSpace DP - CSIR KW - Best linear unbiased prediction KW - BLUP KW - Breeding values KW - Collinearity KW - Multigenerational KW - Realised genetic gains KW - Forestry KW - Forestry sciences KW - Agricultural sciences LK - https://researchspace.csir.co.za PY - 2011 SM - 2070-2620 T1 - Comparison of collinearity mitigation techniques used in predicting BLUP breeding values and genetic gains over generations TI - Comparison of collinearity mitigation techniques used in predicting BLUP breeding values and genetic gains over generations UR - http://hdl.handle.net/10204/5550 ER -