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Please use this identifier to cite or link to this item: http://hdl.handle.net/10204/5798

Title: Seasonal forecasts: communicating current climate variability in southern Africa
Authors: Landman, WA
Tadross, M
Engelbrecht, F
Archer van Garderen, E
Joubert, A
Keywords: Seasonal forecasts
Southern Africa seasonal rainfall
Seasonal climate forecasts
Southern African Development Community
Issue Date: Nov-2011
Publisher: CSIR
Citation: Landman, WA, Tadross, M, Engelbrecht, F, Archer van Garderen, E and Joubert, A. Seasonal forecasts: communicating current climate variability in southern Africa. Climate Risk and Vulnerability: a handbook for Southern Africa. CSIR, pp 23-27
Series/Report no.: Workflow;8519
Abstract: In southern Africa, seasonal rainfall and temperature forecasts have been made for almost two decades already and these forecasts have been developed to improve the ability of users to cope with fluctuations in rainfall and temperatures on a seasonal time scale. Seasonal climate forecasts are defined as probabilistic predictions of how much rain is expected during the season and how warm or cool it will be, based primarily on the principle that the ocean (sea-surface temperatures) influences climate and weather. Forecasts are usually issued for a period of six months and suggest the total amount of rainfall expected over that period, but not the distribution of rainfall within that period or the initiation of the rainy season. Similarly, seasonal forecasts give guidance on the temperature regime most likely to dominate during a coming season.
Description: Copyright: 2011 CSIR, South Africa
URI: http://www.csir.co.za/docs/SADC%20Handbook%202011_final_email.pdf
ISBN: 978-0-620-50627-4
Appears in Collections:Climate change
General science, engineering & technology

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