Getting to grips with election night forecasting: Predicting the unpredictable world of politics

Abstract

As soon as the election results start coming in, a team of seven CSIR researchers will get to work to do election night forecasting. These scientists will use statistical modelling based on the first actual voting results that are received to do the forecasting. "Our scientific model works - we are confident that we'd be able to once again give an accurate forecast," comments Hans Ittmann, Executive Director of CSIR Built Environment