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Bayesian structural time-series approach to a long-term electricity demand forecasting

Author: Mokilane, P.M. ; Debba, Pravesh ; Venkata, Y.S.S. ; Sigauke, C Date: Mar 2019 The paper presents an application of Bayesian structural time-series model to forecast long-term electricity demand. Accurate trend specification in long-term forecasting is important; otherwise erroneous forecasts could be obtained especially ... Read more
Long-term electricity demand forecasting using a generalised additive mixed quantile averaging (GAMMQV)

Author: Mokilane, Paul M ; Debba, Pravesh ; Yadavalli, VSS ; Sigauke, C Date: Nov 2018 The paper discusses the development and application of GAMMQV in forecasting the long-term electricity demand in South Africa. The long-term hourly demand from 2007 to 2023 with in-sample forecasts from 2007 to 2012 and out-of-sample forecasts ... Read more

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Browsing by Subject "Probabilistic forecasts"

Browsing by Subject "Probabilistic forecasts"

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